The regression, time-series and experience-rating toolkit behind every risk model
Actuarial work runs on a small set of statistical tools: linear and generalized linear models, time-series models, survival models, and the credibility formulas that turn a policyholder's own claims history into a renewal price. This collection covers that toolkit and the diagnostics that keep it honest. Each piece stands on its own, so you can start with the model you need today rather than working through a semester in order. By the end you can fit, interrogate and report a risk model instead of merely quoting its output.
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View a sample reportOne session. One clear takeaway.Each short session develops one distinct idea with a clear takeaway. Together, the sessions show how those ideas connect into a structured understanding of the topic.
What a regression study is for, and the distributional habits that make it work.
What a regression study is for, and the distributional habits that make it work.
Least squares from the first scatter plot to a full multiple regression.
Least squares from the first scatter plot to a full multiple regression.
Turning a working regression into one you can defend.
Turning a working regression into one you can defend.
What changes when the data arrives in order.
What changes when the data arrives in order.
Short-horizon forecasting, changing variance, and data measured on the same units over time.
Short-horizon forecasting, changing variance, and data measured on the same units over time.
Dependent variables that are yes-or-no, counted, or ranked.
Dependent variables that are yes-or-no, counted, or ranked.
One framework that unifies the models so far, plus time-to-event data.
One framework that unifies the models so far, plus time-to-event data.
The models insurance pricing is actually built on.
The models insurance pricing is actually built on.
Reserving arithmetic, then the two skills that decide whether the work lands.
Reserving arithmetic, then the two skills that decide whether the work lands.
“A modelling course where every method arrives with its own diagnostic.”
Most actuarial statistics books either stay theoretical or jump straight to software. This one keeps the two together: each method arrives with the check that tells you whether it holds, and the applications are insurance problems throughout. The treatment of experience rating is unusually practical.
Nano College writes university-level courses in short, self-contained pieces designed to be finished — not shelved. Every collection is original: written to cover the ground a full course covers, with the same rigour, in a format that fits the way people actually learn today.